Stock Forecast Methods

Stock Market Trading and Investing

It Is Time to Try a New Forecast-simulation Software

New Stock Market SoftwareA new decision support software system for stock market traders has been release. It is called Trading Forecast Weekly TFW-1. It provides weekly EOD forecasts for 20 selected ETFs by cloud computing. TFW-1 allows choosing best trading opportunities by comparative analysis, assessing different strategies using back-test simulation, finding the best configuration of algorithms among 64 possible combinations and optimizing triggering parameters, as well as, monitoring results by stand-alone computing.

The simulations and statistical analysis show that systems based on predicted entry-exit signals generate a better profit than random-entry trading systems. TFW-1 enables forecasts to increase a trading profit. The calculations are performed on server-side by a robust artificial intelligence system. Since sometimes predictions can fail, to preserve capital in a volatile market, the software enables simulating different risk management approaches. TFW-1 simulation allows testing generated predictions combined with buy-sell signals.

It is known that depending on the character of particular trading shares and current stock market condition, some ideas can work better than others. To optimize strategy for each particular case, the software enables testing a given idea and finding automatically the best set of algorithms. It is especially important for exit points to minimize losses and ultimately to maximize an overall profit. Some algorithms have customizable parameters that can also be optimized. All optimizations can be done either automatically by scanning 64 possible logical combinations and adjusting numerical parameters or manually.

TFW-1 allows monitoring the simulated or actual completed transactions, reflecting total trading activity, and evaluating the success of trading in overall by stand-alone computing. It enables working with many separate data files that is convenient in case of managing multiple assets and keeping the archives of older activities. You are welcome to download and use for free (during the first 30-day period) a fully-functional version of TFW-1.

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October 6, 2011 Posted by | Stock Market Forecast, Stock Market Software | , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

New Trading Decision Support Systems Group on LinkedIn

New Trading Decision Support Systems group on LinkedInThe new group Trading Decision Support Systems is intended to be a resource for individual/institutional traders/investors and software developers in stock market area to share ideas, initiate and participate discussions, benefit from the collective intelligence, and to expand network. It will be primarily focused on such topics as:

  • Trading EOD and intraday different asset classes: trading tips, strategies, why, how, and results.
  • Trading systems: algorithms, methods, technologies, human factor, and statistics.
  • Software tools to support traders decisions: forecast methods, simulations, back-testing, and optimization.
  • Technical Analysis: indicators and chart patterns.
  • Fundamental Analysis: financial ratios and predictive models.
  • News: analysis and formalization by converting to measurable variables to automate systems with contributing news factor.
  • Numerical methods, data processing, artificial intelligence, and modeling in stock market areas.

Many things remain unchangeable in a trading world – supply-demand price balance, greed-fear driven mistakes, as well as, ability to think, make right decisions, and find the best solutions. When once winning approaches, strategies, or methods failed, many traders are prone to analyze the reasons why it happened. Then they create new approaches and develop new successful systems. If systems are automated, it is easy and fast to test them, collect and analyze back-testing and live statistics, and then make necessary improvements. That is why it is important to implement the best ideas in software applications that can be also used by others.

The computational technologies are changing. Systems empowered by Artificial Intelligence have self-learning abilities that enable them to adapt to market changes. One of the purposes of this group is to bring together the developers of decision support software and traders-users for mutual benefits: the developers get more ideas about their products’ improvements and make a better progress in developing software for traders, the users arise issues relating to their needs and wants. Hopefully everyone will find something useful participating in this group.

You are welcome to join this newly created networking group. Be the first to start a relevant discussion, promote your product or service. Please join Trading Decision Support Systems group on LinkedIn!

June 22, 2011 Posted by | Stock Market Forecast, Stock Market Software | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment